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A Computer Derived Synoptic Climatology of Precipitation from Winter Storms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: As part of the investigation into the problem of forecasting heavy snowstorms in the eastern and central United States, a synoptic climatology of the precipitation associated with winter storms has been derived. In order ...
POLARIZATION OF LIGHT FROM ILLUMINATED AREAS IN A CEILOMETER BEAM DURING RAIN
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The observed polarization of the light emitted from certain illuminated areas in a ceilometer beam during rain is explained as due to the polarization of light rays by reflection and refraction in passing through the ...
PREDICTION OF HURRICANE MOTION WITH USE OF ORTHOGONAL POLYNOMIALS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Wadsworth-Bryan method of specifying atmospheric circulation patterns is used as a basis for developing a hurricane forecasting procedure. Regression equations have been calculated using persistency and circulation ...
ESTIMATING PRECIPITATION AT SAN FRANCISCO FROM CONCURRENT METEOROLOGICAL VARIABLES
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Variables obtained from synoptic sea level and upper air charts are investigated to determine their significance in the estimation of concurrent rainfall. Eight variables consisting of sea level pressures and pressure ...
A GRAPHICAL SOLUTION OF THE CONVENTIONAL SKILL SCORE INVOLVING TWO CATEGORIES
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A chart for the graphical solution of the skill score is developed on the basis that the number of cases is held constant. A procedure is suggested by means of which the chart presented may be used for any number of cases. ...
NOTE ON THE MEASUREMENT OF SKILL OF PROBABILITY FORECASTS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The issuance of forecasts in probabilistic terms introduces the problem of the measurement of the forecasting skill which goes into the preparation of this type of forecast. The applicability of the conventional skill score ...
PERSISTENCY OF RAIN AND NO-RAIN PERIODS DURING THE WINTER AT SAN FRANCISCO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A 20-year record of winter precipitation data for San Francisco is used to determine frequencies of periods of rain and no-rain of various lengths and the frequencies of periods of a given type of weather followed by the ...
NOTE ON THE MEASUREMENT OF FORECAST SKILL USING A MOVING CLASS INTERVAL
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The use of a moving class interval in calculating a skill score for a series of forecasts is investigated. When forecasts are expressed in quantitatively exact terms, it is found that the use of this type of interval in ...
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