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RISA Theory of the Spring Persistence Barrier on ENSO. Part I: The Role of ENSO Period
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A Theory of the Spring Persistence Barrier on ENSO. Part II: Persistence Barriers in SST and Ocean Heat Content
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A Theory for the Seasonal Predictability Barrier: Threshold, Timing, and Intensity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A theory is developed in a stochastic climate model for understanding the general features of the seasonal predictability barrier (PB), which is characterized by a band of maximum decline in autocorrelation function ...
A Diurnal Predictability Barrier for Weather Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Parameter Optimization for Real-World ENSO Forecast in an Intermediate Coupled Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWe performed parameter estimation in the Zebiak?Cane model for the real-world scenario using the approach of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation and the observational data of sea surface temperature and ...
On the formation mechanism of Seasonal Persistence Barrier
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The mechanism of the seasonal persistence barrier (SPB) is studied in the framework of autoregressive (AR) model. In contrast to the seasonal variance, whose minimum is modulated mainly by the minimum growth rate or noise ...
A Theory of the Spring Persistence Barrier on ENSO. Part III: The Role of Tropical Pacific Ocean Heat Content
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Indian Ocean Weakens the ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier: Role of the Indian Ocean Basin and Dipole Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society