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Indian Ocean Feedback to the ENSO Transition in a Multimodel Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: bservational studies hypothesized that Indian Ocean (IO) feedback plays a role in leading to a fast transition of El Niño. When El Niño accompanies IO warming, IO warming induces the equatorial easterlies over the western ...
Optimal Initial Perturbations for Ensemble Prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation during Boreal Winter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n initialization strategy, tailored to the prediction of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO), is evaluated using the Goddard Earth Observing System Model, version 5 (GEOS-5), coupled general circulation model (CGCM). The ...
Improvement of ENSO Simulation Based on Intermodel Diversity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, a new methodology is developed to improve the climate simulation of state-of-the-art coupled global climate models (GCMs), by a postprocessing based on the intermodel diversity. Based on the close connection ...
Rectification Feedback of High-Frequency Atmospheric Variability into Low-Frequency Zonal Flows in the Tropical Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, the rectification process of high-frequency (HF) zonal-wind variability on the low-frequency (LF) zonal wind is investigated through an idealized experiment using an atmospheric general circulation model ...
Improvement of Initialized Decadal Predictions over the North Pacific Ocean by Systematic Anomaly Pattern Correction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he prediction skill and errors in surface temperature anomalies in initialized decadal hindcasts from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are assessed using six ocean?atmosphere coupled models ...
Changes in the Tropical Pacific SST Trend from CMIP3 to CMIP5 and Its Implication of ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study assesses the changes in the tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) trend and ENSO amplitude by comparing a historical run of the World Climate Research Programme Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ...
Changes in Independency between Two Types of El Niño Events under a Greenhouse Warming Scenario in CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study uses archives from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) to investigate changes in independency between two types of El Niño events caused by greenhouse warming. In the observations, the ...
Improvement in Forecasting Short-Term Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change and Their Rapid Intensification Using Deep Learning
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Machine Learning–Based Lightning Parameterizations for the CONUS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Inverse Effect of Annual-Mean State and Annual-Cycle Changes on ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The influence of the tropical Pacific annual-mean state on the annual-cycle amplitude and El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability is studied using the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology coupled general circulation ...