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Two Floods in Fort Collins, Colorado: Learning from a Natural Disaster
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A flash flood in Fort Collins, Colorado, on 28 July 1997 resulted in 5 deaths, 62 injuries, and more than $250 million in property damage. Following the 1997 flood, a great many changes were made in the city's preparedness ...
Flood Risk, Uncertainty, and Scientific Information for Decision Making: Lessons from an Interdisciplinary Project
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The magnitude of flood damage in the United States, combined with the uncertainty in current estimates of flood risk, suggest that society could benefit from improved scientific information about flood risk. To help address ...
False Alarms and Close Calls: A Conceptual Model of Warning Accuracy
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The false alarm rate (FAR) measures the fraction of forecasted events that did not occur, and it remains one of the key metrics for verifying National Weather Service (NWS) weather warnings. The national FAR for tornado ...
CORRIGENDUM: False Alarm Rate or False Alarm Ratio?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Two items need to be clarified from an earlier work of the authors. The first is that the layout of the 2 ? 2 contingency table was reversed from standard practice, with the titles of ?observed event? and ?forecast? ...
WAS*IS: Building a Community for Integrating Meteorology and Social Science
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Weather and Society*Integrated Studies (WAS*IS) is a grassroots movement to change the weather enterprise by comprehensively and sustainably integrating social science into meteorological research and practice. WAS*IS is ...
Decision Making by Austin, Texas, Residents in Hypothetical Tornado Scenarios
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: One of the goals of the Warning Project is to understand how people receive warnings of hazardous weather and subsequently use this information to make decisions. As part of the project, 519 surveys from Austin, Texas, ...