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Evaluating the Skill of Categorical Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A generalized skill score is presented for evaluating forecasts in any number of categories. Each forecast in a sample is given a mark; the skill score for the sample is just the average mark. Each mark has an expected ...
The Southern Oscillation and New Zealand Weather
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Correlation coefficients between the Tahiti-Darwin Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and pressure fields in the New Zealand area show a negative SOI to be associated with anomalous southwest flow on a yearly average basis, ...
Persistent Anomalies of the Extratropical Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Circulation: Geographical Distribution and Regional Persistence Characteristics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: We have studied the geographical and regional persistence characteristics of wintertime Northern Hemisphere 500 mb height anomalies, focusing particular attention on the behavior of strong anomalies that persist beyond the ...
Advancing Polar Prediction Capabilities on Daily to Seasonal Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he polar regions have been attracting more and more attention in recent years, fueled by the perceptible impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Polar climate change provides new opportunities, such as shorter shipping ...