Abstract: The European summer of 2003 is used as a case study to analyze the land surface role in augmenting the local temperature anomalies. Using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) analysis and the 40-yr ...

Abstract: The sensitivity of the atmospheric circulation to the warm Mediterranean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies observed during the summer of 2003 (July and August) is studied using the European Centre for Medium-Range ...

Abstract: The effects of SST anomalies on the interannual and intraseasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon have been studied by multivariate statistical analyses of 850-hPa wind and rainfall fields simulated in a set of ...

Abstract: The 1997/98 El Niño was one of the strongest on record. Its onset was predicted by several numerical models, though none fully captured its intensity. This was the case for the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system that ...

Abstract: The Northern Hemisphere winter 1988/89 was characterized by large persistent anomalies in both the tropics and the extratropics. A strong cold anomaly in the sea surface temperature (SST) was present in the eastern equatorial ...

Abstract: Since 1997, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forecasts with ensembles of a coupled ocean?atmosphere model, System-1 (S1). In January 2002, a new version, System-2 (S2), was ...

Abstract: The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forecasts since 1997 with ensembles of a coupled ocean?atmosphere model, System-1 (S1). In January 2002, a new version, System-2 (S2), was ...