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SINGULARITIES IN DAILY TEMPERATURES
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The means of daily maximum temperatures using twenty years of record are obtained. The average of these means over n consecutive calendar days is used as a predictor of the daily maximum temperature one and more years in ...
Use of Probability Forecasts to Maximize Various Skill Scores
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Whereas categorical forecasts designate a specific category of weather as the predicted future condition, probability forecasts express the uncertainty attending a forecast by giving estimates of the probability of occurrence ...
A Statistical Approach to the Short-Period Prediction of Surface Winds
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The screening-multiple-regression technique is applied to predicting surface u- and v-wind components at Idlewild International Airport for periods of 2, 3, 5 and 7 hr. The predictors are variables from 11 synoptic stations, ...
OBJECTIVE PREDICTION OF FIVE-DAY MEAN TEMPERATURES DURING WINTER
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical screening procedure is used to derive linear multiple-regression equations which express 5-day mean surface temperature as a function of 5-day mean 700-mb heights centered 2 days earlier. Application of these ...