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RISInvestigating the Factors That Contribute to African Easterly Wave Intensity Forecast Uncertainty in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAlthough there have been numerous studies documenting the processes/environments that lead to the intensification of African easterly waves (AEWs), only a few of these studies investigated the effect of those ...
African Easterly Wave Forecast Verification and Its Relation to Convective Errors within the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAfrican easterly waves (AEWs) are the primary synoptic-scale weather feature found in sub-Saharan Africa during boreal summer, yet there have been few studies documenting the performance of operational ensemble ...
Tropical Cyclone Track Sensitivity in Deformation Steering Flow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractPrevious studies have suggested that tropical cyclones (TCs) in deformation steering flows can be associated with large position errors and uncertainty. The goal of this study is to evaluate the sensitivity of ...
Spatiotemporal Snowfall Variability in the Lake Michigan Region: How is Warming Affecting Wintertime Snowfall?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study has investigated the spatiotemporal structure and changes in Lake Michigan snowfall for the period 1950?2013. With data quality caveats acknowledged, a larger envelope of stations was included than in previous ...