Abstract: A poor man's ensemble is a set of independent numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecasts from several operational centers. Because it samples uncertainties in both the initial conditions and model formulation through ...

Abstract: The analysis of cloud cover in the polar regions from satellite data is more difficult than at other latitudes because the visible and thermal contrasts between the cloud cover and the underlying surface are frequently ...

Abstract: High-resolution forecasts may be quite useful even when they do not match the observations exactly. Neighborhood verification is a strategy for evaluating the ?closeness? of the forecast to the observations within space?time ...

Abstract: his paper describes an extension of an operational consensus forecasting (OCF) scheme from site forecasts to gridded forecasts. OCF is a multimodel consensus scheme including bias correction and weighting. Bias correction ...

Abstract: Over 50 satellite rainfall algorithms were evaluated for a 5° square region in the equatorial western Pacific Ocean during TOGA COARE, November 1992?February 1993. These satellite algorithms used GMS VIS/IR, AVHRR, and ...

Abstract: Geostationary satellite observations can be used to distinguish potential rain-bearing clouds from nonraining areas, thereby providing surrogate observations of ?no rain? over large areas. The advantages of including such ...

Abstract: A detailed analysis is made of the development of a region of cold cloud-top temperatures in Tropical Cyclone Hilda (1990) in the Coral Sea off eastern Australia. Observed temperatures of approximately 173 K (?100°C) from ...

Abstract: Real-time gridded 24-h quantitative precipitation forecasts from seven operational NWP models are verified over the Australian continent. All forecasts have been mapped to a 1° latitude?longitude grid and have been verified ...

Abstract: The contiguous rain area (CRA) method for spatial forecast verification is a features-based approach that evaluates the properties of forecast rain systems, namely, their location, size, intensity, and finescale pattern. ...