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Using Deep Learning to Estimate Tropical Cyclone Intensity from Satellite Passive Microwave Imagery
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA deep learning convolutional neural network model is used to explore the possibilities of estimating tropical cyclone (TC) intensity from satellite images in the 37- and 85?92-GHz bands. The model, called ...
A Family Tree of Tropical Meteorology's Academic Community and its Proposed Expansion
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: f the American Meteorological Society's 30th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, in April 2012, an academic lineage (?family tree?) of that community was presented to document ...
The Development and Evaluation of a Statistical–Dynamical Tropical Cyclone Genesis Guidance Tool
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he National Hurricane Center (NHC) has stated that guidance on tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is an operational forecast improvement need, particularly since numerical weather prediction models produce TC-like features and ...
Tropical Cyclone Formation Guidance Using Pregenesis Dvorak Climatology. Part I: Operational Forecasting and Predictive Potential
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hile there are a variety of modes for tropical cyclone (TC) development, there have been relatively few efforts to systematically catalog both nondeveloping and developing cases. This paper introduces an operationally ...
Verification of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts from Global Numerical Models: Comparisons between the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific Basins
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ccurately forecasting tropical cyclone (TC) genesis is an important operational need, especially since the National Hurricane Center?s Tropical Weather Outlook product has been extended from 2 to 5 days. A previous study ...
Evaluation of Global Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Unexpected Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in Moderate Vertical Wind Shear. Part I: Overview and Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA satellite-based investigation is performed of a class of tropical cyclones (TCs) that unexpectedly undergo rapid intensification (RI) in moderate vertical wind shear between 5 and 10 m s?1 calculated as 200?850-hPa ...
The Unexpected Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in Moderate Vertical Wind Shear. Part II: Vortex Tilt
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWe investigate a class of tropical cyclones (TCs) that undergo rapid intensification (RI) in moderate vertical wind shear through analysis of a series of idealized model simulations. Two key findings derived from ...
An Evaluation of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecasts from Global Numerical Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropical cyclone (TC) forecasts rely heavily on output from global numerical models. While considerable research has investigated the skill of various models with respect to track and intensity, few studies have considered ...
The Unexpected Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones in Moderate Vertical Wind Shear. Part III: Outflow–Environment Interaction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractInteractions between the upper-level outflow of a sheared, rapidly intensifying tropical cyclone (TC) and the background environmental flow in an idealized model are presented. The most important finding is that ...