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Dynamics of Short-Term Univariate Forecast Error Covariances
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The covariance equation based on second-order closure for dynamics governed by a general scalar nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE) is studied. If the governing dynamics involve n space dimensions, then the ...
Suboptimal Schemes for Atmospheric Data Assimilation Based on the Kalman Filter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This work is directed toward approximating the evolution of forecast error covariances for data assimilation. The performance of different algorithms based on simplification of the standard Kalman filter (KF) is studied. ...
Treatment of Observation Error due to Unresolved Scales in Atmospheric Data Assimilation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Observations of the atmospheric state include scales of motion that are not resolved by numerical models into which the observed data are assimilated. The resulting observation error due to unresolved scales, part of the ...
The Behavior of Forecast Error Covariances for a Kalman Filter in Two Dimensions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Kalman filter algorithm is implemented for a linearized shallow-water model over the continental United States. It is used to assimilate simulated data from the existing radiosonde network, from the demonstration network ...
A Fixed-Lag Kalman Smoother for Retrospective Data Assimilation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Data assimilation has traditionally been employed to provide initial conditions for numerical weather prediction (NWP). A multiyear time sequence of objective analyses produced by data assimilation can also be used as an ...
Conservation of Mass and Preservation of Positivity with Ensemble-Type Kalman Filter Algorithms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper considers the incorporation of constraints to enforce physically based conservation laws in the ensemble Kalman filter. In particular, constraints are used to ensure that the ensemble members and the ensemble ...
Assimilation of Stratospheric Chemical Tracer Observations Using a Kalman Filter. Part I: Formulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The first part of this two-part article describes the formulation of a Kalman filter system for assimilating limb-sounding observations of stratospheric chemical constituents into a tracer transport model. The system is ...
Assessing the Effects of Data Selection with the DAO Physical-Space Statistical Analysis System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Conventional optimal interpolation (OI) analysis systems solve the standard statistical analysis equations approximately, by invoking a local approximation and a data selection procedure. Although solution of the analysis ...
The GEOS-3 Retrospective Data Assimilation System: The 6-Hour Lag Case
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The fixed-lag Kalman smoother (FLKS) has been proposed as a framework to construct data assimilation procedures capable of producing high-quality climate research datasets. FLKS-based systems, referred to as retrospective ...