Abstract: The nonlinear convectively coupled character of the summer monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) that manifests in its event-to-event variations is a major hurdle for skillful extended-range prediction of the active/break ...

Abstract: Under the National Monsoon Mission Project initiated by the government of India?s Ministry of Earth Sciences, an indigenous dynamical ensemble prediction system (EPS) has been developed at the Indian Institute of Tropical ...

Abstract: his study describes an attempt to overcome the underdispersive nature of single-model ensembles (SMEs). As an Indo?U.S. collaboration designed to improve the prediction capabilities of models over the Indian monsoon region, ...

Abstract: his study reports an objective criterion for the real-time extended-range prediction of monsoon onset over Kerala (MOK), using circulation as well as rainfall information from the 16 May initial conditions of the Grand ...

Abstract: In spite of the summer monsoon’s importance in determining the life and economy of an agriculture-dependent country like India, committed efforts toward improving its prediction and simulation have been limited. Hence, a ...