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Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region: Spatial Patterns and Relationship to Large-Scale Circulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the variations in tropical cyclone (TC) genesis positions and their subsequent tracks for different phases of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga region (FST ...
The Influence of the Madden–Julian Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the modulation of tropical cyclone (TC) activity by the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (FST region), using Joint Typhoon Warning Center best-track cyclone data and ...
Modeling Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Fiji Region as a Binary Classification Problem
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study presents a binary classification model for the prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (the FST region) using the accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) as a proxy of TC ...
Influence of ENSO on Tropical Cyclone Intensity in the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the variation in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity for different phases of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga (FST) region. The variation in TC intensity is ...
Forecasting Tropical Cyclone Formation in the Fiji Region: A Probit Regression Approach Using Bayesian Fitting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n objective methodology for forecasting the probability of tropical cyclone (TC) formation in the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga regions (collectively the FST region) using antecedent large-scale environmental conditions is ...
A Bayesian Regression Approach to Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones Affecting the Fiji Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study presents seasonal prediction schemes for tropical cyclones (TCs) affecting the Fiji, Samoa, and Tonga (FST) region. Two separate Bayesian regression models are developed: (i) for cyclones forming within the FST ...
Indigenous Knowledge for Environmental Prediction in the Pacific Island Countries
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ndigenous people in Pacific Island countries (PICs) often use their knowledge of the environment, acquired through generations of holistic observational practices and experimental learning, to make meteorological forecasts. ...
Statistical Assessment of the OWZ Tropical Cyclone Tracking Scheme in ERA-Interim
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe Okubo?Weiss?Zeta (OWZ) tropical cyclone (TC) detection scheme, which has been used to detect TCs in climate, seasonal prediction, and weather forecast models, is assessed on its ability to produce a realistic ...
Corrigendum
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Corrigendum
Publisher: American Meteorological Society