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RISThe Skill of ECMWF Medium-Range Forecasts during the Year of Tropical Convection 2008
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study uses the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model-generated high-resolution 10-day-long predictions for the Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) 2008. Precipitation forecast skills of the ...
Improved Forecasts of the Diurnal Cycle in the Tropics Using Multiple Global Models. Part II: Asian Summer Monsoon
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The diurnal mode of the Asian summer monsoon during active and break periods is studied using four versions of the Florida State University (FSU) global spectral model (GSM). These versions differ in the formulation of ...
Improving Global Model Precipitation Forecasts over India Using Downscaling and the FSU Superensemble. Part II: Seasonal Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study addresses seasonal forecasts of rains over India using the following components: high-resolution rain gauge?based rainfall data covering the years 1987?2001, rain-rate initialization, four global atmosphere?ocean ...
Improved Seasonal Climate Forecasts of the South Asian Summer Monsoon Using a Suite of 13 Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Several modeling studies have shown that the south Asian monsoon region has the lowest skill for seasonal forecasts compared with many other domains of the world. This paper demonstrates that a multimodel synthetic ...
Space–Time Scales of Northward Propagation of Convection during Boreal Summer
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study uses precipitation estimates from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission to quantify the spatial and temporal scales of northward propagation of convection over the Indian monsoon region during boreal summer. ...
Prediction of the Diurnal Cycle Using a Multimodel Superensemble. Part II: Clouds
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study addresses the issue of cloud parameterization in general circulation models utilizing a twofold approach. Four versions of the Florida State University (FSU) global spectral model (GSM) were used, including four ...
Space–Time Evolution of the Low- and High-Frequency Intraseasonal Modes of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study, rainfall estimates by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission are used to understand the spatiotemporal structures of convection in the intraseasonal time scale and their intensity during the boreal summer ...
Improving Multimodel Forecasts of the Vertical Distribution of Heating Using the TRMM Profiles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Recently the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) project office made available a new product called the convective?stratiform heating (CSH). These are the datasets ...
The Role of the North Atlantic Blocking High during Large-Scale Heavy Rainfall Events over Central India
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Seasonal Prediction of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Using a Suite of 13 Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Improved seasonal prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the global oceans is the theme of this paper. Using 13 state-of-the-art coupled global atmosphere?ocean models and 13 yr of seasonal forecasts, ...