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Global and Regional Aspects of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropical cyclone (TC) activity is analyzed in 14 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The global TC activity in the historical runs is compared with observations. The simulation of TC ...
Influence of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones on Their Large-Scale Environment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The authors investigate the influence of western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs) on their large-scale environment by lag regressing various large-scale climate variables [atmospheric temperature, winds, relative ...
Revisiting the Influence of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on Tropical Cyclone Activity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The statistical relationship between the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and tropical cyclone (TC) activity is explored, with a focus on the North Atlantic. Although there is a statistically significant relationship between ...
Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Intensity and ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The influence of the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on tropical cyclone intensity in the western North Pacific basin is examined. Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE), constructed from the best-track dataset for the region ...
Experimental Dynamical Seasonal Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Activity at IRI
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) has been issuing experimental seasonal tropical cyclone activity forecasts for several ocean basins since early 2003. In this paper the method used to ...
Improving the Detection and Tracking of Tropical Cyclones in Atmospheric General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Dynamical seasonal forecasts of tropical storm frequency require robust and efficient algorithms for detection and tracking of tropical storms in atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs). Tropical storms are generally ...
A Climatology of Arabian Sea Cyclonic Storms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: On average 1?2 tropical cyclones form over the Arabian Sea each year, and few of these storms are intense enough to be classified as very severe or super cyclonic storms. As such, few studies have explicitly identified the ...
Projected Future Seasonal Changes in Tropical Summer Climate
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The authors analyze changes in the tropical sea surface temperature (SST), surface wind, and other fields from the twentieth to the twenty-first century in climate projections using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ...
Heavy Rain-Producing Terrestrial Low Pressure Systems over the East Asian Summer Monsoon Region: Evolution, Energetics, and Trend
Publisher: American Meteorological Society