Abstract: AbstractStatistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts is widely applied to make reliable probabilistic weather forecasts. Motivated by the fact that nature imposes few restrictions on the shape of forecast distributions, ...

Abstract: AbstractIn this paper, probabilistic wind speed forecasts are constructed based on ensemble numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts for both wind speed and wind direction. Including other NWP variables in addition to ...

Abstract: hree ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) with different grid spacings are compared and evaluated with respect to their ability to predict wintertime weather in complex terrain. The experiment period was two-and-a-half winter ...