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Domain-Independent Attribution. Part I: Reconstructing the Wind from Estimates of Vorticity and Divergence Using Free Space Green's Functions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Free space Green's functions may be used to reconstruct the wind over a limited domain from vorticity, divergence, and the wind at the boundary of the domain. When standard finite-difference estimates of the vorticity/divergence ...
Domain-Independent Attribution. Part II: Its Value in the Verification of Dynamical Theories of Frontal Waves and Frontogenesis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Theories of frontogenesis and frontal waves describe development in terms of the interaction of a basic state or environmental flow with a frontal flow. The basic-state flow may comprise a large-scale confluent?diffluent ...
Adaptive Ensemble Covariance Localization in Ensemble 4D-VAR State Estimation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n adaptive ensemble covariance localization technique, previously used in ?local? forms of the ensemble Kalman filter, is extended to a global ensemble four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-VAR) scheme. The ...
A Comparison of Breeding and Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter Ensemble Forecast Schemes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) ensemble forecast scheme is introduced and compared with both a simple and a masked breeding scheme. Instead of directly multiplying each forecast perturbation with a constant ...
Ensemble Transformation and Adaptive Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Suppose that the geographical and temporal resolution of the observational network could be changed on a daily basis. Of all the possible deployments of observational resources, which particular deployment would minimize ...
Frontal Wave Stability during Moist Deformation Frontogenesis. Part II: The Suppression of Nonlinear Wave Development
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, the role of horizontal deformation and the associated frontogenetic ageostrophic circulation in suppressing the development of nonlinear waves is assessed. Unless linear barotropic frontal waves can become ...
Frontal Wave Stability during Moist Deformation Frontogenesis. Part I: Linear Wave Dynamics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: It has been shown that lower tropospheric potential vorticity zones formed during moist deformation frontogenesis will support growing waves if at some time the frontogenesis ceases. In this paper, the ways in which these ...
Nonlinear Parameter Estimation: Comparison of an Ensemble Kalman Smoother with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithm
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his paper explores the temporal evolution of cloud microphysical parameter uncertainty using an idealized 1D model of deep convection. Model parameter uncertainty is quantified using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society