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Climax I and II: Distortion Resistant Residual Analyses
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Climax I and II wintertime orographic cloud seeding experiments have recently been reanalyzed (Mielke et al., 1981c). The primary inference technique of this recent reanalysis involved (i) target-control residual data ...
Application of Multi-Response Permutation Procedures for Examining Seasonal Changes in Monthly Mean Sea-Level Pressure Patterns
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper considers the examination of possible differences in monthly sea-level pressure patterns, The satisfactory examination of such differences requires appropriate multi-response parametric methods based on unknown ...
Predicting Atlantic Basin Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity by 1 August
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: More than 90% of all seasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone activity typically occurs after 1 August. A strong predictive potential exists that allows seasonal forecasts of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity to be issued ...
Predicting Atlantic Basin Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity by 1 June
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This is the third in a series of papers describing the potential for the seasonal forecasting of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity. Earlier papers by the authors describe seasonal prediction from 1 December of the ...
Predicting Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity 6–11 Months in Advance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A surprisingly strong long-range predictive signal exists for Atlantic-basin seasonal tropical cyclone activity. This predictive skill is related to two measures of West African rainfall in the prior year and to the phase ...
A Single-Sample Estimate of Shrinkage in Meteorological Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An estimator of shrinkage based on information contained in a single sample is presented and the results of a simulation study are reported. The effects of sample size, amount, and severity of nonrepresentative data in the ...
Artificial Skill and Validation in Meteorological Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The results of a simulation study of multiple regression prediction models for meteorological forecasting are reported. The effects of sample size, amount, and severity of nonrepresentative data in the population, inclusion ...
Long-Term Variations of Western Sahelian Monsoon Rainfall and Intense U.S. Landfalling Hurricanes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Western Sahelian rainfall during the primary rainy season of June through September is shown to he significantly associated with concurrent intense U.S. landfalling hurricanes during the last 92 years. The meet intense ...
HIPLEX-1: Statistical Evaluation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Results of statistical analyses for HIPLEX-1, a randomized cloud seeding experiment, are presented. The analyses are based principally on multi-response permutation procedures (MRPP) as specified before the HIPLEX-1 ...
HIPLEX-1: Experimental Design and Response Variables
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The design and conduct of HIPLEX-1, a randomized seeding experiment carried out on small cumulus congestus clouds in eastern Montana, are outlined. The seeding agent was dry ice, introduced in an effort to produce microphysical ...
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