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A Local Ensemble Prediction System for Fog and Low Clouds: Construction, Bayesian Model Averaging Calibration, and Validation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: At main international airports, air traffic safety and economic issues related to poor visibility conditions are crucial. Meteorologists face the challenge of supplying airport authorities with accurate forecasts of fog ...
Numerical Forecasting of Radiation Fog. Part II: A Comparison of Model Simulation with Several Observed Fog Events
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A 1D model adapted for forecasting the formation and development of fog, and forced with mesoscale parameters derived from a 3D limited-area model, was used to simulate three fog event observations made during the Lille ...
Numerical Forecasting of Radiation Fog. Part I: Numerical Model and Sensitivity Tests
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To improve the forecast of dense radiative fogs, a method has been developed using a one-dimensional model of the nocturnal boundary layer forced by the mesoscale fields provided by a 3D limited-area operational model. The ...
Contributions from a Local Ensemble Prediction System (LEPS) for Improving Fog and Low Cloud Forecasts at Airports
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: At Paris? international airport, named Roissy Charles de Gaulle (CdG), air traffic safety and management as well as economic issues related to poor visibility conditions are crucial. Meteorologists face the challenge of ...
Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation in a 1D Numerical Model Used for Fog Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Because poor visibility conditions have a considerable influence on airport traffic, a need exists for accurate and updated fog and low-cloud forecasts. Couche Brouillard Eau Liquide (COBEL)-Interactions between Soil, ...
Local Meteorological and Large-Scale Weather Characteristics of Fog over the Grand Casablanca Region, Morocco
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sing a fog event approach, the local meteorological and synoptic characteristics of fogs that formed over the Grand Casablanca (GCB) region during a 9-yr period (2001?09) are investigated. A climatological study of fog, ...
Adaptive Observations: A Feasibility Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The feasibility of the recently proposed concept of adaptive observations is tested on a typical case of poorly forecast North Atlantic cyclogenesis. Only numerical tools are employed, no special observations. Although ...
The Impact of Aircraft Data on an Atlantic Cyclone Analyzed in Terms of Sensitivities and Trajectories
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A case study of an eastern Atlantic cyclogenesis event is conducted. The focus is on the impact of aircraft data on both the analysis and forecast of the event. The case takes place between 1 and 3 February 1994 and involves ...
Skill of a Ceiling and Visibility Local Ensemble Prediction System (LEPS) according to Fog-Type Prediction at Paris-Charles de Gaulle Airport
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A specific event, called a low-visibility procedure (LVP), has been defined when visibility is under 600 m and/or the ceiling is under 60 m at Paris-Charles de Gaulle Airport, Paris, France, to ensure air traffic safety ...
Improved Site-Specific Numerical Prediction of Fog and Low Clouds: A Feasibility Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Accurate short-term forecasts of low ceiling and visibility are vital to air traffic operation, in order to maximize the use of an airport. The research presented here uses specific local observations and a detailed numerical ...