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RISAn Evaluation of Block-Maximum-Based Estimation of Very Long Return Period Precipitation Extremes with a Large Ensemble Climate Simulation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The recurring devastation caused by extreme events underscores the need for reliable estimates of their intensity and frequency. Operational frequency and intensity estimates are very often obtained from generalized extreme ...
Probable Maximum Precipitation: Its Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification Using Bivariate Extreme Value Analysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractProbable maximum precipitation (PMP) is the key parameter used to estimate the probable maximum flood (PMF), both of which are important for dam safety and civil engineering purposes. The usual operational procedure ...
Probabilistic Gaussian Copula Regression Model for Multisite and Multivariable Downscaling
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: tmosphere?ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) are useful to simulate large-scale climate evolutions. However, AOGCM data resolution is too coarse for regional and local climate studies. Downscaling techniques have ...
Probabilistic Multisite Statistical Downscaling for Daily Precipitation Using a Bernoulli–Generalized Pareto Multivariate Autoregressive Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Bernoulli?generalized Pareto multivariate autoregressive (BMAR) model is proposed in this paper for multisite statistical downscaling of daily precipitation. The proposed model relies on a probabilistic framework to describe ...