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RISForecasting West African Heat Waves at Subseasonal and Seasonal Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractEarly indication of an increased risk of extremely warm conditions could help alleviate some of the consequences of severe heat waves on human health. This study focuses on boreal spring heat wave events over West ...
On the Link between Summer Dry Bias over the U.S. Great Plains and Seasonal Temperature Prediction Skill in a Dynamical Forecast System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSoil moisture anomalies are expected to be a driver of summer predictability for the U.S. Great Plains since this region is prone to intense and year-to-year varying water and energy exchange between the land and ...
Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multimodel Seasonal Skill Comparison
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction: Filling the Weather–Climate Gap
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Stochastic Parameterization: Toward a New View of Weather and Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range, and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to represent model ...