Abstract: The false alarm rate (FAR) measures the fraction of forecasted events that did not occur, and it remains one of the key metrics for verifying National Weather Service (NWS) weather warnings. The national FAR for tornado ...

Abstract: Two items need to be clarified from an earlier work of the authors. The first is that the layout of the 2 ? 2 contingency table was reversed from standard practice, with the titles of ?observed event? and ?forecast? ...

Abstract: One of the goals of the Warning Project is to understand how people receive warnings of hazardous weather and subsequently use this information to make decisions. As part of the project, 519 surveys from Austin, Texas, ...