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On the Energy Exchange between Tropical Ocean Basins Related to ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ast amounts of energy are exchanged between the ocean, atmosphere, and space in association with El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This study examines energy budgets of all tropical (30°S?30°N) ocean basins and the ...
Assimilation of Altimeter Data in the ECMWF Ocean Analysis System 3
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The latest version of the ECMWF ocean analysis system was recently introduced into operational use. This not only provides initial conditions for the monthly and seasonal forecast systems but also creates a historical ...
The Importance of Wind and Buoyancy Forcing for the Boundary Density Variations and the Geostrophic Component of the AMOC at 26°N
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: t is widely thought that changes in both the surface buoyancy fluxes and wind stress drive variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), but that they drive variability on different time scales. ...
Earth’s Energy Imbalance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: limate change from increased greenhouse gases arises from a global energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere (TOA). TOA measurements of radiation from space can track changes over time but lack absolute accuracy. An ...
Westerly Wind Events and the 1997/98 El Niño Event in the ECMWF Seasonal Forecasting System: A Case Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The 1997/98 El Niño was one of the strongest on record. Its onset was predicted by several numerical models, though none fully captured its intensity. This was the case for the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system that ...
The ECMWF Ocean Analysis System: ORA-S3
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new operational ocean analysis/reanalysis system (ORA-S3) has been implemented at ECMWF. The reanalysis, started from 1 January 1959, is continuously maintained up to 11 days behind real time and is used to initialize ...
Tropical Atlantic SST Prediction with Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere GCMs
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Variations in tropical Atlantic SST are an important factor in seasonal forecasts in the region and beyond. An analysis is given of the capabilities of the latest generation of coupled GCM seasonal forecast systems to ...
Decadal and Seasonal Dependence of ENSO Prediction Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: When forecasting sea surface temperature (SST) in the Equatorial Pacific on a timescale of several seasons, most prediction schemes have a spring barrier; that is, they have skill scores that are substantially lower when ...
Euro-Atlantic Weather Regimes and Their Modulation by Tropospheric and Stratospheric Teleconnection Pathways in ECMWF Reforecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Evolution of Ocean Heat Content Related to ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAs the strongest interannual perturbation to the climate system, El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dominates the year-to-year variability of the ocean energy budget. Here we combine ocean observations, reanalyses, ...