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On the Forcing of Inertia–Gravity Waves by Synoptic-Scale Flows
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Studies on the spontaneous emission of gravity waves from jets, both observational and numerical, have emphasized that excitation of gravity waves occurred preferentially near regions of imbalance. Yet a quantitative ...
Practical and Intrinsic Predictability of Severe and Convective Weather at the Mesoscales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study explores both the practical and intrinsic predictability of severe convective weather at the mesoscales using convection-permitting ensemble simulations of a squall line and bow echo event during the Bow Echo and ...
Initial Development and Genesis of Hurricane Dolly (2008)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Based on a successful cloud-resolving simulation with the Weather Research and Forecasting Model, this study examines key processes that led to the early development of Hurricane Dolly (2008). The initial development of ...
Effects of Vertical Wind Shear on the Predictability of Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hrough cloud-resolving simulations, this study examines the effect of vertical wind shear and system-scale flow asymmetry on the predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity during different stages of the TC life ...
Predicting Hurricane Intensity and Associated Hazards: A Five-Year Real-Time Forecast Experiment with Assimilation of Airborne Doppler Radar Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: erformance in the prediction of hurricane intensity and associated hazards has been evaluated for a newly developed convection-permitting forecast system that uses ensemble data assimilation techniques to ingest high-resolution ...
Diurnal Radiation Cycle Impact on the Pregenesis Environment of Hurricane Karl (2010)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hrough convection-permitting ensemble and sensitivity experiments, this study examines the impact of the diurnal radiation cycle on the pregenesis environment of Hurricane Karl (2010). It is found that the pregenesis ...
The Role of Inner Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rrors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here we show that ...
Influence of Equatorial Waves on the Genesis of Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he influence of equatorial wave disturbances on the genesis of Super Typhoon Haiyan (2013) is investigated through spectral, composite, and ensemble sensitivity analysis of various observational datasets in combination ...
Diurnal Variations of Warm-Season Precipitation over Northern China
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the diurnal variations of the warm-season precipitation over northern China using the high-resolution precipitation products obtained from the Climate Prediction Center?s morphing technique (CMORPH) ...
Untitled
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThrough a series of convection-permitting regional-scale ensembles based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model, this study investigates the predictability of multiscale weather and convectively coupled ...