| contributor author | Briana E. Stewart | |
| contributor author | Jason M. Cordeira | |
| contributor author | F. Martin Ralph | |
| date accessioned | 2023-04-12T18:29:20Z | |
| date available | 2023-04-12T18:29:20Z | |
| date copyright | 2022/10/28 | |
| date issued | 2022 | |
| identifier other | WAF-D-21-0114.1.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4289754 | |
| description abstract | Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are long and narrow regions in the atmosphere of enhanced integrated water vapor transport (IVT) and can produce extreme precipitation and high societal impacts. Reliable and skillful forecasts of landfalling ARs in the western United States are critical to hazard preparation and aid in decision support activities, such as Forecast-Informed Reservoir Operations (FIRO). The purpose of this study is to compare the cool-season water year skill of the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) and ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) forecasts of IVT along the U.S. West Coast for 2017–20. The skill is analyzed using probability-over-threshold forecasts of IVT magnitudes ≥ 250 kg m | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | Evaluating GFS and ECMWF Ensemble Forecasts of Integrated Water Vapor Transport along the U.S. West Coast | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 37 | |
| journal issue | 11 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/WAF-D-21-0114.1 | |
| journal fristpage | 1985 | |
| journal lastpage | 2004 | |
| page | 1985–2004 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;2022:;volume( 037 ):;issue: 011 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext | |