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    Estimating Above and Below Normal Rainfall Periods over South Africa, 1972–2000

    Source: Journal of Applied Meteorology:;1977:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 002::page 145
    Author:
    Dyer, T. G. J.
    ,
    Tyson, P. D.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(1977)016<0145:EAABNR>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: By fitting a trigonometrical regression model to a regionally averaged time series for the period 1910?72, and by extrapolation to the year 2000, an estimate of future extended wet and dry spells has been made for the summer rainfall region of South Africa. It is suggested that the periods 1972?81 and 1991?2000 will experience above normal rainfall and the period 1981?90 will be drier than normal. Results to date show that mean regional rainfall for the hydrological years 1972?73 to 1975?76 has conformed to the suggested pattern.
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      Estimating Above and Below Normal Rainfall Periods over South Africa, 1972–2000

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    contributor authorDyer, T. G. J.
    contributor authorTyson, P. D.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T17:38:57Z
    date available2017-06-09T17:38:57Z
    date copyright1977/02/01
    date issued1977
    identifier issn0021-8952
    identifier otherams-9228.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4232693
    description abstractBy fitting a trigonometrical regression model to a regionally averaged time series for the period 1910?72, and by extrapolation to the year 2000, an estimate of future extended wet and dry spells has been made for the summer rainfall region of South Africa. It is suggested that the periods 1972?81 and 1991?2000 will experience above normal rainfall and the period 1981?90 will be drier than normal. Results to date show that mean regional rainfall for the hydrological years 1972?73 to 1975?76 has conformed to the suggested pattern.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleEstimating Above and Below Normal Rainfall Periods over South Africa, 1972–2000
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume16
    journal issue2
    journal titleJournal of Applied Meteorology
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0450(1977)016<0145:EAABNR>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage145
    journal lastpage147
    treeJournal of Applied Meteorology:;1977:;volume( 016 ):;issue: 002
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
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