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    The Role of Inner Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill

    Source: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences:;2017:;Volume( 074 ):;issue: 007::page 2315
    Author:
    Emanuel, Kerry
    ,
    Zhang, Fuqing
    DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-17-0008.1
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: rrors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here we show that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner core moisture as to that of the wind field. We discuss implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity.
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      The Role of Inner Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill

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    https://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4220252
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    contributor authorEmanuel, Kerry
    contributor authorZhang, Fuqing
    date accessioned2017-06-09T17:00:03Z
    date available2017-06-09T17:00:03Z
    date issued2017
    identifier issn0022-4928
    identifier otherams-77669.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4220252
    description abstractrrors in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts are dominated by initial condition errors out to at least a few days. Initialization errors are usually thought of in terms of position and intensity, but here we show that growth of intensity error is at least as sensitive to the specification of inner core moisture as to that of the wind field. We discuss implications of this finding for tropical cyclone observational strategies and for overall predictability of storm intensity.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleThe Role of Inner Core Moisture in Tropical Cyclone Predictability and Practical Forecast Skill
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume074
    journal issue007
    journal titleJournal of the Atmospheric Sciences
    identifier doi10.1175/JAS-D-17-0008.1
    journal fristpage2315
    journal lastpage2324
    treeJournal of the Atmospheric Sciences:;2017:;Volume( 074 ):;issue: 007
    contenttypeFulltext
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    DSpace software copyright © 2002-2015  DuraSpace
    نرم افزار کتابخانه دیجیتال "دی اسپیس" فارسی شده توسط یابش برای کتابخانه های ایرانی | تماس با یابش
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