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    An Analysis of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Forecast Errors

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;1978:;volume( 106 ):;issue: 007::page 925
    Author:
    Jarrell, Jerry D.
    ,
    Brand, Samson
    ,
    Nicklin, Donald S.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0493(1978)106<0925:AAOWNP>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Western North Pacific tropical cyclone position forecast errors for 10 years (1966?75) are statistically analyzed. Variations of errors versus a number of parameters are examined. It is shown that a small number of readily available parameters, such as location, maximum wind and components of motion, can, with reasonable effectiveness, classify a tropical cyclone forecast as representing a group with either markedly above or below average errors. The annual variations of forecast errors are also discussed and an attempt is made to explain those variations.
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      An Analysis of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Forecast Errors

    URI
    https://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4199873
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    • Monthly Weather Review

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    contributor authorJarrell, Jerry D.
    contributor authorBrand, Samson
    contributor authorNicklin, Donald S.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T16:02:06Z
    date available2017-06-09T16:02:06Z
    date copyright1978/07/01
    date issued1978
    identifier issn0027-0644
    identifier otherams-59327.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4199873
    description abstractWestern North Pacific tropical cyclone position forecast errors for 10 years (1966?75) are statistically analyzed. Variations of errors versus a number of parameters are examined. It is shown that a small number of readily available parameters, such as location, maximum wind and components of motion, can, with reasonable effectiveness, classify a tropical cyclone forecast as representing a group with either markedly above or below average errors. The annual variations of forecast errors are also discussed and an attempt is made to explain those variations.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titleAn Analysis of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Forecast Errors
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume106
    journal issue7
    journal titleMonthly Weather Review
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0493(1978)106<0925:AAOWNP>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage925
    journal lastpage937
    treeMonthly Weather Review:;1978:;volume( 106 ):;issue: 007
    contenttypeFulltext
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