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    Prediction of an Exceptional Storm over France and Southern England (15–16 October 1987)

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;1989:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 004::page 517
    Author:
    Jarraud, M.
    ,
    Cyoas, J.
    ,
    Deyts, C.
    DOI: 10.1175/1520-0434(1989)004<0517:POAESO>2.0.CO;2
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The most violent storm to hit France in recent history?with wind gusts of 50 m s?1 and waves of 15 m? is described. The structural and economic damage in France was considerable, but there were very few human casualties. Forecasts issued by the French weather service (Direction de la Météorologie Nationale or DMN) were successful in predicting the intensity of the storm, and an analysis is presented of how and why such forecasts were possible. In particular, the observations and numerical guidance from the fine mesh PERIDOT and the large-scale EMERAUDE DMN numerical systems and from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) available to operational forecasters are reviewed and the crucial role of proper use of numerical forecasts and human experience is examined.
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      Prediction of an Exceptional Storm over France and Southern England (15–16 October 1987)

    URI
    https://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl1/handle/yetl/4161857
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    • Weather and Forecasting

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    contributor authorJarraud, M.
    contributor authorCyoas, J.
    contributor authorDeyts, C.
    date accessioned2017-06-09T14:43:02Z
    date available2017-06-09T14:43:02Z
    date copyright1989/12/01
    date issued1989
    identifier issn0882-8156
    identifier otherams-2511.pdf
    identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4161857
    description abstractThe most violent storm to hit France in recent history?with wind gusts of 50 m s?1 and waves of 15 m? is described. The structural and economic damage in France was considerable, but there were very few human casualties. Forecasts issued by the French weather service (Direction de la Météorologie Nationale or DMN) were successful in predicting the intensity of the storm, and an analysis is presented of how and why such forecasts were possible. In particular, the observations and numerical guidance from the fine mesh PERIDOT and the large-scale EMERAUDE DMN numerical systems and from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) available to operational forecasters are reviewed and the crucial role of proper use of numerical forecasts and human experience is examined.
    publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
    titlePrediction of an Exceptional Storm over France and Southern England (15–16 October 1987)
    typeJournal Paper
    journal volume4
    journal issue4
    journal titleWeather and Forecasting
    identifier doi10.1175/1520-0434(1989)004<0517:POAESO>2.0.CO;2
    journal fristpage517
    journal lastpage536
    treeWeather and Forecasting:;1989:;volume( 004 ):;issue: 004
    contenttypeFulltext
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