ON THE COMPARISON OF ONE OR MORE SETS OF PROBABILITY FORECASTSSource: Journal of Meteorology:;1958:;volume( 015 ):;issue: 003::page 283Author:Gringorten, Irving I.
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0469(1958)015<0283:OTCOOO>2.0.CO;2Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: General expressions for the expected score for accuracy, score for skill and for operational value of the forecasts are developed and discussed. The expressions are then applied to the special case of two-class predictors and predictand, and an example is given to illustate how one set of probability forecasts can meet the operational requirements better than another set, even though both sets of forecasts are equally accurate and equally skillful.
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| contributor author | Gringorten, Irving I. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T14:11:54Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T14:11:54Z | |
| date copyright | 1958/06/01 | |
| date issued | 1958 | |
| identifier issn | 0095-9634 | |
| identifier other | ams-14443.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4150005 | |
| description abstract | General expressions for the expected score for accuracy, score for skill and for operational value of the forecasts are developed and discussed. The expressions are then applied to the special case of two-class predictors and predictand, and an example is given to illustate how one set of probability forecasts can meet the operational requirements better than another set, even though both sets of forecasts are equally accurate and equally skillful. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | ON THE COMPARISON OF ONE OR MORE SETS OF PROBABILITY FORECASTS | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 15 | |
| journal issue | 3 | |
| journal title | Journal of Meteorology | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0469(1958)015<0283:OTCOOO>2.0.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 283 | |
| journal lastpage | 287 | |
| tree | Journal of Meteorology:;1958:;volume( 015 ):;issue: 003 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext |