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RISThe Different Relationships between the ENSO Spring Persistence Barrier and Predictability Barrier
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the relationship between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) spring persistence barrier (PB) and predictability barrier (PD) and apply it to explain the interdecadal modulation of ENSO ...
An Ensemble Forecasting Method for Dealing with the Combined Effects of the Initial and Model Errors and a Potential Deep Learning Implementation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, a new nonlinear forcing singular vector (NFSV) approach is proposed to provide mutually independent optimally combined modes of initial perturbations and model perturbations (C-NFSVs) in ensemble forecasts. ...