Household-Level Model for Hurricane Evacuation Destination Type Choice Using Hurricane Ivan Data

Abstract

Hurricanes are costly natural disasters periodically faced by households in coastal and, to some extent, inland areas. Public agencies must understand household behavior to develop evacuation plans that align with evacuee choices and behavior. This paper presents a previously unknown household-level hurricane evacuation destination type choice model. The discrete choice of destination type is modeled using a nested logit model. Although previous literature considers only houses of friends and relatives and hotels for modeling purposes, this paper incorporates public shelters, churches, and an aggregated destination type denoted