Modeling of Wind Power Plants and Their Impact on Economic and Environmental Development

Abstract

This research addresses the environmental dynamics of wind power plants and their impact on the economy and environment. A system dynamics framework is used as a tool for model development since it accommodates relationships between complex and nonlinear variables affecting the wind power plants and their impact on the economy and environment. The scientific contribution of this research is the creation of scenario modeling that describes the interrelationships of variables and parameters affecting wind power plants and their impact. By changing the structure of the model, projections on the future of wind power plant generation can be estimated. Several scenarios being developed include adding turbines in the Sidrap and Jeneponto regencies to increase the fulfillment ratio of wind energy and scenarios to reduce CO2 emissions using solid direct air capture (S-DAC). The data and information used in this research come from the Central Statistics Agency, articles on wind energy power plants, and data from related previous studies. These models and scenarios can be applied in other regions by adjusting the parameter values of the case study model. Total wind energy depends on density, wind speed, blade cross-sectional area, and the efficiency of the Betz limit. With the addition of 25 turbines in Sidrap and 20 turbines in Jeneponto, the average fulfillment ratio is estimated to increase by around 7% due to increased production. Meanwhile, total CO2 emissions are estimated to decrease by approximately 45% due to solid direct air capture.