ProbSevere LightningCast: A Deep-Learning Model for Satellite-Based Lightning Nowcasting

Abstract

Lightning strikes pose a hazard to human life and property, and can be difficult to forecast in a timely manner. In this study, a satellite-based machine learning model was developed to provide objective, short-term, location-specific probabilistic guidance for next-hour lightning activity. Using a convolutional neural network architecture designed for semantic segmentation, the model was trained using