Simulation of the St. Francis Dam-Break Flood

Abstract

A two-dimensional (2D) simulation of flooding from the 1928 failure of St. Francis Dam in southern California is presented. The simulation algorithm solves shallow-water equations using a robust unstructured grid Godunov-type scheme designed for wetting and drying and achieves good results. Flood extent and flood travel time are predicted within 4 and 10% of observations, respectively. Representation of terrain by the mesh is identified as the dominant factor affecting accuracy, and an iterative process of mesh refinement and convergence checks is implemented to minimize errors. The most accurate predictions are achieved with a uniformly distributed Manning