Significance of Conceptual Model Uncertainty in Simulating Carbon Sequestration in a Deep Inclined Saline Aquifer

Abstract

In modeling geologic carbon sequestration in a deep inclined aquifer in Wyoming, the impact of geologic, engineering, and environmental uncertainty factors on parameter importance and prediction uncertainty is evaluated. Given site characterization data, a suite of geologic model families were built to represent aquifer permeability heterogeneity at increasing complexity. With each family, the same