Using the Artificial Neural Networks Methodology to Predict the Vertical Swelling Percentage of Expansive Clays

Abstract

Regular use of artificial neural networks (ANN) analysis for predicting the vertical swelling percentage of expansive clays may lead to inappropriate results in terms of their geophysical behavior. This paper presents two new ANN Models derived from a two-stage procedure. The models were estimated using the same data set from the previous paper, and their statistical fit was clearly found to be superior in comparison to the previous models. Furthermore, one of these two models exhibited the expected geophysical behavior. As this new ANN Model yields higher predicted swelling-percentage values, it can definitely be regarded as a preferable one in the sense of enlarging the safety margin in heave calculations.