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contributor authorPeter E. D. Love
contributor authorXiangyu Wang
contributor authorChun-pong Sing
contributor authorRobert L. K. Tiong
date accessioned2017-05-08T21:39:50Z
date available2017-05-08T21:39:50Z
date copyrightMarch 2013
date issued2013
identifier other%28asce%29co%2E1943-7862%2E0000584.pdf
identifier urihttp://yetl.yabesh.ir/yetl/handle/yetl/58744
description abstractThe statistical characteristics of cost overruns experienced from contract award in 276 Australian construction and engineering projects were analyzed. The skewness and kurtosis values of the cost overruns are computed to determine if the empirical distribution of the data follows a normal distribution. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Anderson-Darling, and chi-squared nonparametric tests are used to determine the goodness of fit of the selected probability distributions. A three-parameter Frechet probability function is found to describe the behavior of cost overruns and provide the best overall distribution fit. The Frechet distribution is then used to calculate the probability of a cost overrun being experienced. The statistical characteristics of contract size and cost overruns were also analyzed. The Cauchy (
publisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers
titleDetermining the Probability of Project Cost Overruns
typeJournal Paper
journal volume139
journal issue3
journal titleJournal of Construction Engineering and Management
identifier doi10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000575
treeJournal of Construction Engineering and Management:;2013:;Volume ( 139 ):;issue: 003
contenttypeFulltext


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