Quantifying the Error of Radar-Estimated Refractivity by Multiple Elevation and Dual-Polarimetric Data

Abstract

AbstractTo properly use radar refractivity data quantitatively, good knowledge of its errors is required. The data quality of refractivity critically depends on the phase measurements of ground targets that are used for the refractivity estimation. In this study, the observational error structure of refractivity is first estimated based on quantifying the uncertainties of phase measurements, data processing, and the refractivity estimation method. New correlations between the time series of phase measurements at different elevation angles and between polarizations are developed to assess the bulk phase variability of individual targets. Then, the observational error of refractivity is obtained by simulating the uncertainties of phase measurements through the original refractivity estimation method. Resulting errors in refractivity are found to be smaller than 1 N-unit in areas densely populated with reliable point-like stationary ground targets but grow as the target density becomes sparse.