NCAR’s Experimental Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System
| contributor author | Schwartz, Craig S. | |
| contributor author | Romine, Glen S. | |
| contributor author | Sobash, Ryan A. | |
| contributor author | Fossell, Kathryn R. | |
| contributor author | Weisman, Morris L. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T17:37:08Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T17:37:08Z | |
| date copyright | 2015/12/01 | |
| date issued | 2015 | |
| identifier issn | 0882-8156 | |
| identifier other | ams-88164.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4231914 | |
| description abstract | his expository paper documents an experimental, real-time, 10-member, 3-km, convection-allowing ensemble prediction system (EPS) developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) in spring 2015. The EPS is particularly unique in that continuously cycling, limited-area, mesoscale ensemble Kalman filter analyses provide diverse initial conditions. In addition to describing the EPS configurations, initial forecast assessments are presented that suggest the EPS can provide valuable severe weather guidance and skillful predictions of precipitation. The EPS output is available to operational forecasters, many of whom have incorporated the products into their toolboxes. Given such rapid embrace of an experimental system by the operational community, acceleration of convection-allowing EPS development is encouraged. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | NCAR’s Experimental Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 30 | |
| journal issue | 6 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/WAF-D-15-0103.1 | |
| journal fristpage | 1645 | |
| journal lastpage | 1654 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;2015:;volume( 030 ):;issue: 006 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext |
