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contributor authorGillett, Nathan P.
contributor authorArora, Vivek K.
contributor authorMatthews, Damon
contributor authorAllen, Myles R.
date accessioned2017-06-09T17:07:08Z
date available2017-06-09T17:07:08Z
date copyright2013/09/01
date issued2013
identifier issn0894-8755
identifier otherams-79651.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4222454
description abstracthe ratio of warming to cumulative emissions of carbon dioxide has been shown to be approximately independent of time and emissions scenarios and directly relates emissions to temperature. It is therefore a potentially important tool for climate mitigation policy. The transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions (TCRE), defined as the ratio of global-mean warming to cumulative emissions at CO2 doubling in a 1% yr?1 CO2 increase experiment, ranges from 0.8 to 2.4 K EgC?1 in 15 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)?a somewhat broader range than that found in a previous generation of carbon?climate models. Using newly available simulations and a new observational temperature dataset to 2010, TCRE is estimated from observations by dividing an observationally constrained estimate of CO2-attributable warming by an estimate of cumulative carbon emissions to date, yielding an observationally constrained 5%?95% range of 0.7?2.0 K EgC?1.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleConstraining the Ratio of Global Warming to Cumulative CO2 Emissions Using CMIP5 Simulations
typeJournal Paper
journal volume26
journal issue18
journal titleJournal of Climate
identifier doi10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00476.1
journal fristpage6844
journal lastpage6858
treeJournal of Climate:;2013:;volume( 026 ):;issue: 018
contenttypeFulltext


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