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contributor authorBala, G.
contributor authorCaldeira, K.
contributor authorMirin, A.
contributor authorWickett, M.
contributor authorDelire, C.
date accessioned2017-06-09T17:01:07Z
date available2017-06-09T17:01:07Z
date copyright2005/11/01
date issued2005
identifier issn0894-8755
identifier otherams-78016.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4220639
description abstractA coupled climate and carbon (CO2) cycle model is used to investigate the global climate and carbon cycle changes out to the year 2300 that would occur if CO2 emissions from all the currently estimated fossil fuel resources were released to the atmosphere. By the year 2300, the global climate warms by about 8 K and atmospheric CO2 reaches 1423 ppmv. The warming is higher than anticipated because the sensitivity to radiative forcing increases as the simulation progresses. In this simulation, the rate of emissions peaks at over 30 Pg C yr?1 early in the twenty-second century. Even at the year 2300, nearly 50% of cumulative emissions remain in the atmosphere. Both soils and living biomass are net carbon sinks throughout the simulation. Despite having relatively low climate sensitivity and strong carbon uptake by the land biosphere, these model projections suggest severe long-term consequences for global climate if all the fossil fuel carbon is ultimately released into the atmosphere.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleMulticentury Changes to the Global Climate and Carbon Cycle: Results from a Coupled Climate and Carbon Cycle Model
typeJournal Paper
journal volume18
journal issue21
journal titleJournal of Climate
identifier doi10.1175/JCLI3542.1
journal fristpage4531
journal lastpage4544
treeJournal of Climate:;2005:;volume( 018 ):;issue: 021
contenttypeFulltext


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