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contributor authorLatif, M.
contributor authorRoeckner, E.
contributor authorBotzet, M.
contributor authorEsch, M.
contributor authorHaak, H.
contributor authorHagemann, S.
contributor authorJungclaus, J.
contributor authorLegutke, S.
contributor authorMarsland, S.
contributor authorMikolajewicz, U.
contributor authorMitchell, J.
date accessioned2017-06-09T16:19:28Z
date available2017-06-09T16:19:28Z
date copyright2004/04/01
date issued2004
identifier issn0894-8755
identifier otherams-6576.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4207022
description abstractSea surface temperature (SST) observations in the North Atlantic indicate the existence of strong multidecadal variability with a unique spatial structure. It is shown by means of a new global climate model, which does not employ flux adjustments, that the multidecadal SST variability is closely related to variations in the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC). The close correspondence between the North Atlantic SST and THC variabilities allows, in conjunction with the dynamical inertia of the THC, for the prediction of the slowly varying component of the North Atlantic climate system. It is shown additionally that past variations of the North Atlantic THC can be reconstructed from a simple North Atlantic SST index and that future, anthropogenically forced changes in the THC can be easily monitored by observing SSTs. The latter is confirmed by another state-of-the-art global climate model. Finally, the strong multidecadal variability may mask an anthropogenic signal in the North Atlantic for some decades.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleReconstructing, Monitoring, and Predicting Multidecadal-Scale Changes in the North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation with Sea Surface Temperature
typeJournal Paper
journal volume17
journal issue7
journal titleJournal of Climate
identifier doi10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<1605:RMAPMC>2.0.CO;2
journal fristpage1605
journal lastpage1614
treeJournal of Climate:;2004:;volume( 017 ):;issue: 007
contenttypeFulltext


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