| contributor author | Maini, Parvinder | |
| contributor author | Kumar, Ashok | |
| contributor author | Rathore, L. S. | |
| contributor author | Singh, S. V. | |
| date accessioned | 2017-06-09T15:04:22Z | |
| date available | 2017-06-09T15:04:22Z | |
| date copyright | 2003/10/01 | |
| date issued | 2003 | |
| identifier issn | 0882-8156 | |
| identifier other | ams-3357.pdf | |
| identifier uri | http://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4171256 | |
| description abstract | The inability of a general circulation model (GCM) to predict the surface weather parameters accurately necessitates statistical interpretation of numerical weather prediction (NWP) model output. Here a system for forecasting maximum and minimum temperatures has been developed and implemented for 12 locations in India based on the perfect prog method (PPM) approach. The analyzed data from the ECMWF for a period of 6 yr (1985?90) are used to develop PPM model equations. Daily forecasts for maximum and minimum temperatures are then obtained from these equations by using T-80 model output. In order to assess the skill and quality of the temperature forecasts, an attempt has been made to verify them by employing the conditional and marginal distribution of forecasts and observations using the data of four monsoon seasons from 1997 through 2000. | |
| publisher | American Meteorological Society | |
| title | Forecasting Maximum and Minimum Temperatures by Statistical Interpretation of Numerical Weather Prediction Model Output | |
| type | Journal Paper | |
| journal volume | 18 | |
| journal issue | 5 | |
| journal title | Weather and Forecasting | |
| identifier doi | 10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<0938:FMAMTB>2.0.CO;2 | |
| journal fristpage | 938 | |
| journal lastpage | 952 | |
| tree | Weather and Forecasting:;2003:;volume( 018 ):;issue: 005 | |
| contenttype | Fulltext | |
