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contributor authorUccellini, Louis W.
contributor authorKocin, Paul J.
contributor authorSchneider, Russell S.
contributor authorStokols, Paul M.
contributor authorDorr, Russell A.
date accessioned2017-06-09T14:41:28Z
date available2017-06-09T14:41:28Z
date copyright1995/02/01
date issued1995
identifier issn0003-0007
identifier otherams-24562.pdf
identifier urihttp://onlinelibrary.yabesh.ir/handle/yetl/4161248
description abstractThis paper describes the decision-making process used by the forecasters in the National Meteorological Center's Meteorological Operations Division and in Weather Forecast Offices of the National Weather Service to provide the successful forecasts of the superstorm of 12?14 March 1993. This review illustrates 1) the difficult decisions forecasters faced when using sometimes conflicting model guidance, 2) the forecasters? success in recognizing the mesoscale aspects of the storm as it began to develop and move along the Gulf and East Coasts of the United States, and 3) their ability to produce one of the most successful heavy snow and blizzard forecasts ever for a major winter storm that affected the eastern third of the United States. The successful aspects of the forecasts include the following. 1) Cyclogenesis was predicted up to 5 days prior to its onset. 2) The unusual intensity of the storm was predicted three days in advance, allowing forecasters, government officials, and the media ample time to prepare the public, marine, and aviation interests to take precautions for the protection of life and property. 3) the excessive amounts and areal distribution of snowfall were predicted two days in advance of its onset. 4) An extensive number of blizzard watches and warnings were issued throughout the eastern United States with unprecedented lead times. 5) The coordination of forecasts within the National Weather Service and between the National Weather Service, private forecasters, and media meteorologists was perhaps the most extensive in recent history.
publisherAmerican Meteorological Society
titleForecasting the 12–14 March 1993 Superstorm
typeJournal Paper
journal volume76
journal issue2
journal titleBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
identifier doi10.1175/1520-0477(1995)076<0183:FTMS>2.0.CO;2
journal fristpage183
journal lastpage199
treeBulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;1995:;volume( 076 ):;issue: 002
contenttypeFulltext


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