Abstract: Resampling procedures include hypothesis testing methods based on Permutation Procedures and interval estimation methods based on bootstrap procedures. The former are widely used in the analysis of climate experiments ...

Abstract: The climate literature contains a considerable amount of indirect evidence that there is a connection betweenthe size of the spring Tibetan snowpack and the strength of the subsequent Asian summer monsoon. This paperreports ...

Abstract: Using an optimal detection technique, the extent to which the combined effect of changes in greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols (GS) may be detected in observed surface temperatures is assessed in six spatial domains ...

Abstract: The class of ?regime dependent autoregressive? time series models (RAMs) is introduced. These nonlinear models describe variations of the moments of nonstationary time series by allowing parameter values to change with the ...

Abstract: AbstractA detection and attribution analysis on the multidecadal trend in snow water equivalent (SWE) has been conducted in four river basins located in British Columbia (BC). Monthly output from a suite of 10 general ...

Abstract: he occurrence of individual extremes such as temperature and precipitation extremes can have a great impact on the environment. Agriculture, energy demands, and human health, among other activities, can be affected by ...

Abstract: A difficulty with the statistical techniques which are ordinarily used in the analysis of climate sensitivity experiments is that they do not identify the stable, or recurrent, aspects of the experimental response. Therefore, ...

Abstract: Changes due to CO2 doubling in the extremes of the surface climate as simulated by the second-generation circulation model of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis are studied in two 20-yr equilibrium ...

Abstract: The relative operating characteristic (ROC) is a measure of the quality of probability forecasts that relates the hit rate to the corresponding false-alarm rate. This paper examines some aspects of the ROC curve for ...

Abstract: A simple statistical model of seasonal variability is used to explore the properties of probability forecasts and their accuracy measures. Two methods of estimating probabilistic information from an ensemble of deterministic ...