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RISRole of Sea Surface Salinity Feedback in MJO Predictability: A Study with CFSv2
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWhile previous studies suggested that salinity could feed back onto MJO variability via modulating upper ocean stratification and further on SST, there is no direct evidence yet proving (or disproving) the importance ...
The Role of Air–Sea Coupling in Seasonal Prediction of Asia–Pacific Summer Monsoon Rainfall
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the role of the air?sea coupled process in the seasonal predictability of Asia?Pacific summer monsoon rainfall by comparing seasonal predictions from two carefully designed model experiments: tier 1 ...
Spatial Variability in Seasonal Prediction Skill of SSTs: Inherent Predictability or Forecast Errors?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSeasonal prediction skill of SSTs from coupled models has considerable spatial variations. In the tropics, SST prediction skill in the tropical Pacific clearly exceeds prediction skill over the Atlantic and Indian ...
Untitled
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe observed Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) tends to propagate eastward across the Maritime Continent from the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean to the western Pacific. However, numerical simulations present different ...
The Role of Ocean Dynamics in the Interaction between the Atlantic Meridional and Equatorial Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines a mechanism of the interaction between the tropical Atlantic meridional and equatorial modes. To derive robust heat content (HC) variability, the ensemble-mean HC anomalies (HCA) of six state-of-the-art ...
Assessing Predictive Potential Associated with the MJO during the Boreal Winter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Leading Modes of the Upper-Ocean Temperature Interannual Variability along the Equatorial Atlantic Ocean in NCEP GODAS
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this work, the authors analyze the physical mechanisms of interannual variability of the upper-ocean temperature anomaly (OTA) in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean, using ocean reanalysis from the National Centers for ...
Sea Surface Temperature Predictions in NCEP CFSv2 Using a Simple Ocean Initialization Scheme
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n contrast to operational climate predictions based on sophisticated ocean data assimilation schemes at the National Centers for Environmental Predictions (NCEP), this study applied a simple ocean initialization scheme to ...
Seasonality in Prediction Skill and Predictable Pattern of Tropical Indian Ocean SST
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easonality of sea surface temperature (SST) predictions in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) was investigated using hindcasts (1982?2009) made with the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2). CFSv2 produced useful ...
Persistence and Predictions of the Remarkable Warm Anomaly in the Northeastern Pacific Ocean during 2014–16
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn this work, the evolution and prediction of the persistent and remarkable warm sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) in the northeastern Pacific during October 2013?June 2016 are examined. Based on experiments ...