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Calibrated Ensemble Forecasts Using Quantile Regression Forests and Ensemble Model Output Statistics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nsembles used for probabilistic weather forecasting tend to be biased and underdispersive. This paper proposes a statistical method for postprocessing ensembles based on quantile regression forests (QRF), a generalization ...
Improved Gridded Wind Speed Forecasts by Statistical Postprocessing of Numerical Models with Block Regression
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: umerical weather forecast errors are routinely corrected through statistical postprocessing by several national weather services. These statistical postprocessing methods build a regression function called model output ...
ARPEGE Cloud Cover Forecast Postprocessing with Convolutional Neural Network
Publisher: American Meteorological Society