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A Markov Model for Seasonal Forecast of Antarctic Sea Ice
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A linear Markov model has been developed to simulated and predict the short-term climate change in the Antarctic, with particular emphasis on sea ice variability. Seven atmospheric variables along with sea ice were chosen ...
The Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on Antarctic Sea Ice
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study explores the impact of the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) on the Southern Hemisphere sea ice variability. Singular value decomposition (SVD) of September?November sea ice concentration and sea surface temperature (SST) ...
Shallow Salinity Minima in the North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: CTD/STD data from 24 cruises in the North Pacific are studied for their vertical salinity structure and compared to bottle observations. A triple-salinity minimum is found in two separated regions in the eastern North ...
The Early Winter Sea Ice Variability under the Recent Arctic Climate Shift
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study reveals that sea ice in the Barents and Kara Seas plays a crucial role in establishing a new Arctic coupled climate system. The early winter sea ice before 1998 shows double dipole patterns over the Arctic ...
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Variability and Its Global Connectivity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study statistically evaluates the relationship between Antarctic sea ice extent and global climate variability. Temporal cross correlations between detrended Antarctic sea ice edge (SIE) anomaly and various climate ...
Persistence of North Pacific Sea Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Flow Patterns
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: North Pacific monthly sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies are more persistent than a first-order Markev process, often lasting for more than 5 months. Sea surface temperature persistence undergoes an annual cycle that ...
Predicting Summer Arctic Sea Ice Concentration Intraseasonal Variability Using a Vector Autoregressive Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecent Arctic sea ice changes have important societal and economic impacts and may lead to adverse effects on the Arctic ecosystem, weather, and climate. Understanding the predictability of Arctic sea ice melting is thus ...
The Interconnected Global Climate System—A Review of Tropical–Polar Teleconnections
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis paper summarizes advances in research on tropical?polar teleconnections, made roughly over the last decade. Elucidating El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) impacts on high latitudes has remained an important ...
Understanding Arctic Sea Ice Thickness Predictability by a Markov Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society