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RISA Multimodel Ensemble Pattern Regression Method to Correct the Tropical Pacific SST Change Patterns under Global Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study develops a new observational constraint method, called multimodel ensemble pattern regression (EPR), to correct the projections of regional climate change by the conventional unweighted multimodel mean (MMM). The ...
Sources of Uncertainty in the Time of Emergence of Tropical Pacific Climate Change Signal: Role of Internal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Weakening of the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to Local Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies under Global Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn the tropics, the atmospheric circulation response to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies is a crucial part of the tropical air?sea interaction?the primary process of tropical climate. How it will change under ...
Disentangling the Changes in the Indian Ocean Dipole–Related SST and Rainfall Variability under Global Warming in CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study disentangles the changes in Indian Ocean (IO) dipole (IOD)-related SST and rainfall variability under global warming projected by the RCP8.5 runs in 29 CMIP5 models. The IOD rainfall changes consist of ...
Sources of Uncertainty in the Time of Emergence of Tropical Pacific Climate Change Signal: Role of Internal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Origins of the Excessive Westward Extension of ENSO SST Simulated in CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Origins of the IOD-like Biases in CMIP Multimodel Ensembles: The Atmospheric Component and Ocean–Atmosphere Coupling
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Intermodel Uncertainty in the Change of ENSO’s Amplitude under Global Warming: Role of the Response of Atmospheric Circulation to SST Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study investigates the mechanism of the large intermodel uncertainty in the change of ENSO?s amplitude under global warming based on 31 CMIP5 models. We find that the uncertainty in ENSO?s amplitude is significantly ...
Discrepant Effects of Atmospheric Adjustments in Shaping the Spatial Pattern of SST Anomalies between Extreme and Moderate El Niños
Publisher: American Meteorological Society